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jonlcrain
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  Quote jonlcrain Replybullet Posted: 16 Nov 2013 at 8:33am
4.2 ft on the stick JP gauge rock is barely sticking out of the water.
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  Quote jP Replybullet Posted: 18 Nov 2013 at 4:42pm
Thanks, Jon!

Hey what do you think about tomorrow morning?
I think there is potential of it coming in sweet.

My deal is I need to be out there early. Like, 9am on Hwy 9 or something close. Not only because I want to catch it high off the spike, but also because I have stuff to do in the afternoon.

Who can rally tomorrow morning for pilchuck creek?
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  Quote jP Replybullet Posted: 18 Nov 2013 at 6:09pm
Have any of you been hittin up the 41411 for "Level Pilchuck"?
It just returned a value of 802cfs, rising. Never thought to try it but I guess the esteemed Mr. Robinson plugged those data points into the mix...

Probably was active for awhile I just never tried it till now.
This changes everything !
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  Quote commander fun Replybullet Posted: 18 Nov 2013 at 8:02pm
about a mile from the put in there was a sharp left turn that had a couple of logs.  we were able to duck underneath them on the river left.  the level was about 1200 cfs.  later in the run, after the 2 major class IV drops, there was a river wide log that had to be portaged.  plenty of time to see it and get out, but pay attention.
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  Quote jP Replybullet Posted: 18 Nov 2013 at 9:06pm
Yo man- thanks for the heads up. When did you run it? This last wave of rain (sunday)?
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  Quote jP Replybullet Posted: 18 Nov 2013 at 9:09pm
You end up raftin it w/ wiggins?
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  Quote Wiggins Replybullet Posted: 18 Nov 2013 at 9:57pm
We ended up rafting it Saturday. The wood we had to portage was just after the bridge where people put on the middle section. We bushwacked down the right bank, but learned later there was a easy portage on the left right at the logjam.

Here are a couple of videos.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=grmLvz5BHq8

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2v0Oh-4SODs

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=p_ir-Ubflzw

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rX-164j5uEc

Kyle

Edited by Wiggins - 18 Nov 2013 at 9:58pm
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  Quote jP Replybullet Posted: 18 Nov 2013 at 10:24pm
Right on, Kyle--
Looks like a fun trip

So that second clip, the one titled "Big Drop", (where you guys got the side surf a bit and you said you shoulda been further right) that's the one we been calling Pil Pusher. Definitely the single most "big" move, or at least I think so, before the Falls. Its the broken ledge everyone refers to as "that one big ledge next that big rock"...
That rapid is worthy of a name for sure.

It seems to always go fine but Its kinda rowdy!!

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  Quote commander fun Replybullet Posted: 18 Nov 2013 at 10:39pm
yeah that drop is the only one i can recall really well.  defnitley a step up.

kyle- those links dont seem to be working right.  when i click on them, it just brings this thread page up again.
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  Quote Wiggins Replybullet Posted: 18 Nov 2013 at 10:58pm
I can't figure them out. If you cut and paste them the addresses are right.

It probably has a name, but I have always just refered to that one big drop.

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  Quote jP Replybullet Posted: 19 Nov 2013 at 6:44am
Seems like one doesn't need to be in a super hurry to get Pilchuck this morning- its huge like everything else. Huge.
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  Quote Wiggins Replybullet Posted: 19 Nov 2013 at 12:49pm
If it comes down for tomorrow or Thursday I could be convinced to go.

Kyle
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  Quote jP Replybullet Posted: 21 Nov 2013 at 11:20pm
So I finnally made the Response Team this year! Always hard to tell what you're gonna get till you get out there and look. Man sh*t ton construction they are building a new HWY 9 BRIDGE, one w/ 2 lanes.

The 9:00am meet turned into 9:30-10, so the creek dropped out as always, although at first glance looked pretty high. Once it built into its busy-boogie mode on the top stretch, it was obviously much lower than when Jed and I ran it at 5.2'.

It was fun juicy class IV/IV+ and what I'd call the "low side of perfect" for solid class IV and V boaters looking for casual non stop action. Floating past the stick guage above the take out it read 4.44'. The rock making the pourover was barely trying to poke through the pourover fabric, but the pourover still had some fatness to it.

Kyle, having watched your videos was helpful because I knew to look for that wood on a left bend that Commander Fun may have mentioned in an above post. Then when I saw it I recognized it from your vid, so thanks. At that flow it made a few really solid paddlers paddle in earnest to get left!

That was the only real noteworthy wood. The next wood we encountered had egress on R. Left, and any subsequent wood we encountered thereafter coukdn't really be considered to be "in play". But this is all said within a class IV context at higher flows.
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  Quote jP Replybullet Posted: 21 Nov 2013 at 11:31pm
The other thing to note, is using 41411 to text the level. "Level Pilchuck" is unfortunately of little use because it only updates a few times in a twelve hr period. Just paddled w/ the architect of this awesome resource (41411) and he said that the DOE guages can be less reliable than USGS, which makes sense given a smaller budget. I've never had that problem w/ the Icicle guage tho. At least not such large blocks of time between updates.

I will still ping "Level Pilchuck" in the future, but I also recommend getting both NF Stilly guage readings. The Arlington value minus the Oso value gives you a rough Deer Creek flow, which in turn should help you guage the Pilchuck, since they are neighbors.

Anyway it is a beautiful little creek!
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  Quote jP Replybullet Posted: 26 Nov 2013 at 7:13pm
Another note about flows: there may be a weird discrepency between the foot guage and the online DOE cfs guage, or maybe I need to slow down and look more closely (probably the case)

All my info on the Pilchuck guage is consistent with respect to the foot guage, but unfortunately you can't see that guage before your run without tresspassing on private prop. If you look at the Pilchuck page, I have my cfs notes with question marks after the cfs number. This was at least a ballpark figure at the time I noted them.

Yet, the other day it was saying it was 3000 cfs when the foot giage read 4.44'. I am skeptical because
1) It didn't feel like 3k on the creek to me
2) It was dropping fast as always and the 3,000cfs figure was old data that didn't update as I pointed out in an above post.

People are saying how 2500 or 3,000 is a great level. These people are paddling lots of IV and V, and while generally they are experienced enough to trust when they give you beta, I'm not sure about this cfs figure...

Just saying.
I could be the one who is off. But the stick guage doesn't lie. I'd be really surprised if we were actually boating on 3,000 cfs like the online DOE guage claims. It just didn't feel like that much water. Not even close!
But it was medium-fat n juicy class IV fun, I can attest to that!


Edited by jP - 26 Nov 2013 at 8:39pm
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  Quote jP Replybullet Posted: 26 Nov 2013 at 8:35pm
More detail about the Pilchuck guage as it pertains to using 41411 to get the value as a text message, for those who want to geek out on this like I apparently am...




On Nov 19th at 6:21am I requested "Level Pilchuck", and promptly recieved the reply
     "2610 cfs at 4:45 AM on 11/19
      rising 45 cfs/hr
      Pilchuck Cr. @ Bridge 626"

...and then again at 7:30am I got the same value of 2610 at 4:45am.


I guess I got busy coordinating logistics, driving out to the HWY 9 bridge, and putting on. I really only Pinged it again at 1:51pm after the run, and it read:
     "3070 cfs at 10:45 AM on 11/19
      rising 15 cfs/hr
      Pilchuck Cr. @ Bridge 626"

So maybe that's about right, and what we saw at the bridge was about 3k. We were away from the bridge for abput half an hour before the rest of the crew arrived, so just in the time it took to arrive at the Put In, there wasn't 3k there at the put in. No f'n way.

Meanwhile I had been pinging the N. Frk Stilly's two guages to correlate. And this is messed up, too: check this out-
I pinged the Arlington guage at 7:31am, which returned this:
     "16100 cfs at 7:15 AM on 11/19
       rising 100 cfs/hr
       NF STILLAGUAMISH RIVER NEAR ARLINGTON, WA"

Then pinged the Oso guage at 7:32am (upstream of Deer Creek) and got this:
     "10400 cfs at 2:00 AM on 11/19
      rising 430 cfs/hr
      N.F. Stillaguamish R. @ Oso"

Note that while the two values were requested at around 7:30am, the Arlington value was recorded at 7:15 while the Oso value was recorded at 2:00am.
This is even more bothersome than the Pilchuck guage, in a way, because you can't guage the two against each other (to guess Deer Creek's flow, for example) if those values are 5 hrs off.
Maybe I'm missing something but damn-
That's just wrong! Don't these hydrologists understand we gotta go boating here? This data is IMPORTANT!!

BUDGET CUTS OR NO.
CONTEMPLATING A TIM EYEMAN INITIATIVE TO FIX THIS
just kidding, and I know Tim Eyeman has no influence over USGS, thank goodness.

The point is that the devil is in the details, as all the seasoned paddlers know. And the reason I'm obsessing over this creek in particular is because it flashes so quick. It would be great to have some reliable info to guide the decision making. Especially since most of Washington's rivers flow way more often than Pilchuck does. And since I like this one high, it is even harder to be quick on the draw. It is difficult to impress upon your paddling buds just how crucial it is to be out there as early in the morning as possible. Darren was of course out there before anyone, ready to go.

for the class IV-V boaters who want to catch this at their fun, fat 'n fluffy flows, the EARLY BIRD GETS THIS WORM. That means having a plan the night before when all the guages are blowing up. Because you don't have time to guess about who's committed, who's not, when/where are we picking up him or her, ect. No you gotta have all that sh*t figured out before hand, the night before. I was delayed probably an hour just sending texts to everyone...

Still, it worked out great. We may have lost a little water and been late putting on but not by much. Had a great crew of five total.
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  Quote jP Replybullet Posted: 29 Nov 2013 at 9:38pm
Could be a reprisal of the Pilchuck Goodness, requiring another response Monday morning...
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  Quote jonlcrain Replybullet Posted: 23 Dec 2013 at 6:08am
Good Morning peeps, looks like Pilchuck is in this morning. Anyone care to rally for a lap? I'd say the earlier the better!

Its probably on the lower side of runnable, I'd guess about 4ft on the stick gauge. Internet gauge is reading 1200 cfs and climbing (although the creek may have peaked already).
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  Quote jondufay Replybullet Posted: 23 Dec 2013 at 10:09am
Just talked to john c rain. In route there now.
ahh, f--- it dude, lets go boating...
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  Quote jonlcrain Replybullet Posted: 23 Dec 2013 at 10:18am
It's higher than I thought.....
5.2 on the stick. JPs gauge rock is a nice fat brown pour over.
High side of good.
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  Quote jonlcrain Replybullet Posted: 23 Dec 2013 at 11:02am
Still coming up......5.5 feet on the stick and rising. JP pour over looking like Beyoncé. Huge logs coming down and collecting on the right hand side of the bridge ; flood stage paddling if that's your thing it's in!

Dufay and I are heading to silly stilly.

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  Quote commander fun Replybullet Posted: 23 Dec 2013 at 3:35pm
Might be able to catch pilchuck on the downswings tommorow. If not, the stilly should be good to go. Who's available?
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  Quote commander fun Replybullet Posted: 09 Jan 2014 at 6:08pm
Pilchuck might be good this weekend
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  Quote JoesKayak Replybullet Posted: 09 Jan 2014 at 7:47pm
Very well could be a Pilchuck weekend. If anyone gets out there, please take a pic of the takeout gague rock for me and note the flow at the time. I'm compiling a bunch of pics of different flows to put together a visual gague.
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  Quote JayB Replybullet Posted: 10 Jan 2014 at 4:10pm
Great idea Joe - thanks for putting that together. Looking forward to seeing the final product.
-Jay
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